For the first time, Americans identify more with the Republican Party than with the Democratic Party before an election, according to a recent Gallup poll.
The consulting firm has been asking the following question since 2004: “In politics, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent?
In the last survey, which was conducted between September 14 and 28, 2020, the results showed that 28 percent of the public identifies with the Great Old Party (GOP), while 27 percent of those polled leaned towards the party currently presided over by chair of the DNC Tom Perez.
For the past 16 years, the survey sometimes showed this preference of the “red” party over the “blue,” however, it’s the first time such a tendency is apparent before an election.
Also, so far this year, the average is 28 percent for the GOP and 27 percent for the Democrats.
However, in previous years the results showed a preference for the “blue” party: 2018, 29 percent vs 35 percent; 2016, 27 percent vs 32 percent; 2014, 26 percent vs 32 percent; 2012, 30 percent vs 35 percent; 2010, 29 percent vs 32 percent; 2008, 33 percent vs 34 percent; 2006, 29 percent vs 35 percent; 2004, 34 percent vs 37 percent.
In this context, almost two weeks before the general election, Republican President Donald Trump—who is seeking re-election—and Democratic candidate Joe Biden are competing for the swing states’ votes, those who do not have a clear candidate in the polls.
According to the experts, the 29 electoral votes that Florida puts into play could be decisive in defining the election’s direction.
In 2016, Trump won the state. Two years later, the Republicans maintained their performance when the mid-term elections were held in the governor and senator’s races with Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott winning, respectively.
According to a recent InsiderAdvantage poll, President Trump leads the ‘Sunshine State’ vote intention with 46 percent while Biden reaps 43 percent.
The poll was conducted between October 6 and 7, after President Trump left Walter Reed Hospital after being diagnosed with Covid-19, also known as the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) Virus.
InsiderAdvantage founder Matt Towery was one of the few pollsters who predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, indicating that many polls did not accurately reflect support for the Republican candidate.
Trump was recently at a rally in Florida and in Pennsylvania and Iowa, other swing states, where he won in 2016.
Meanwhile, this Sunday, Biden gave a speech in North Carolina—another state whose electoral preference is still in dispute.
That same day, Trump attended mass at a church in Las Vegas, before the rally he gave in Carson City, Nevada’s capital, another key state.
Other swing states where both candidates are betting their chips are Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan.