In 2021, natural population growth was negative in 13 of China’s 31 provinces. With the economy going down and unemployment rising, more Chinese won’t be able to afford to have children, so the birth rate is expected to go down.
Last year, China had a record low of 10.6 million births. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the net population growth from last year is 480,000, hitting a new low for the past 60 years. The country’s population is almost on the brink of negative growth.
The “China Statistical Yearbook 2022” lists the births, deaths, and natural growth rates for China’s 31 provinces. The population growth in 13 provinces was negative for 2021, and six of those 13 provinces have seen their population growth rates drop for the first time in recent decades.
Mr. Hong is a population and economics expert. He told Radio Free Asia that the worsening economy would slow the natural growth rate of the population even further. He explained that Beijing has no real plan to boost the population. The current political and economic situation is unstable. Population births are actually a sign of future prospects—the more uncertain the future prospects, the lower the birth rate. Most Chinese people hold a negative view of China’s economy, so this will cause the birth rate to slide. even further
Besides, the natural population growth rate in North China and some provinces in central China is low, and this shows that young and middle-aged Chinese from these areas are leaving China. In addition, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Chongqing, Tianjin, and other provinces with high urbanization rates also have relatively low natural population growth rates.